Trader tool

The real cost of a prop challenge

A $500 challenge only costs $500 if you pass on the first try. Most traders do not — and firms price for that. Put in your numbers and see the ticket you are actually buying: expected attempts, expected total cost, and how hard the curve punishes an optimistic self-estimate.

Your challenge

$500
$500
25%

Firms rarely publish pass rates, so this uses your estimate. The point is the shape of the curve — how fast the real cost grows when the pass chance drops — not the exact number.

Expected attempts
4.0
average to first pass
Expected real cost
$2,000
sticker price: $500
Cost multiple
4.0×
real cost vs sticker
At a 25% pass estimate the sticker price is mostly marketing: the average path is funding on roughly attempt 4, making the real ticket about 4.0× the sticker — $2,000. Budget for that, or work on the pass rate before buying.

How the cost curve bends

Expected total cost at every pass chance, with your current setting marked.

10%25%50%75%90%Expected cost (up to $10,000 at 5%)pass chance

Budget check

3
Still unfunded after 3
42%
chance every attempt fails
Spent by then
$1,500
3 paid attempts

If losing that amount would hurt, the position is too big — the same 1R logic from the Risk Academy applies to evaluation fees, not just trades.

What this deliberately leaves out

  • • Discounts, promo resets and free repeats — they lower the real cost; plug the discounted prices in above.
  • • Activation or monthly fees some firms charge after funding — check the rulebook.
  • • The cost of passing and then breaching: a funded account is not the finish line. Trailing drawdown and consistency rules end funded accounts every day.

Educational tool, not financial advice. The results are simple probability math applied to the numbers you enter — SMCM has not assessed your trading or your finances. Nothing you enter is stored or sent anywhere.